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Saturday, April 19, 2025

2022: Blaine County aging and government transfer dependency trends

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John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

In 2022, Blaine County received $81.1 million in government transfer payments, equivalent to $11,695 per capita.

These payments—which include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and income maintenance—accounted for 31.9% of all personal income in the county, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

This marks a significant increase in the county’s reliance on government transfers compared to 2012, when such payments made up 26.2% of total income. Since then, the share has risen by 5.7%.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In 2022, government transfers in Blaine County primarily focused on older adults—such as Social Security transfers, which totaled $18.5 million (22.8% of all transfer income), and Medicare, which accounted for $13.8 million (17.1%)—played a notable role in the county's overall income.

On a per capita basis, Social Security payments rose from $2,313 in 2012 and $912 in 1970 to $2,665 in 2022, reflecting a 15.2% increase over the past decade and an 192.2% shift since 1970.

Similarly, Medicare transfers climbed from $1,732 in 2012 and $253 in 1970 to $1,996, marking 15.2% and 688.9% increases, respectively.

These increases in per capita payments align with shifts in the county’s age distribution. In 2022, residents aged 65 and older made up 16.5% of the total population, compared to 13.6% in 2012 and 11.2% in 1970. While the senior share of the population has increased, the rise in per capita Social Security and Medicare transfers suggests that these assistance programs for older adults now require a larger share of government funding—either due to growing needs, expanded eligibility, higher benefit levels, or increased enrollment.

According to the Economic Innovation Group, total income in Blaine County excluding public assistance amounted to $24,950 per capita in 2022, compared to $36,645 when government transfers were included.

Breaking down the other contributions in the county, Medicaid transfers made up $29.9 million, a 36.8% share of total income, while income maintenance programs, including assistance such as SNAP or TANF, added another $8.4 million, or 10.4% of the total.

Compared to the previous year, Blaine County's reliance on government transfers decreased by 7.8%.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans' income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,016 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,529 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Breakdown of Government Transfers by Program in Blaine County, 2022
Medicaid Transfers [36.8%]Social Security Transfers [22.8%]Medicare Transfers [17.1%]Income Maintenance Transfers [10.4%]

2022 Montana County Rankings by Per Capita Government Transfers

CountyState Rank (Per Capita Transfers)Dependency on Transfers (%)% Population 65+Social Security Transfers (%)Medicare Transfers (%)Medicaid Transfers (%)Income Maintenance Transfers (%)Per Capita Transfers ($)
Lincoln County136.27%29.95%38.6%23.5%17.1%6.5%$16,276
Golden Valley County228.57%33.9%43.4%27.9%13.3%5.5%$16,014
Meagher County332%32%31.3%30.4%19.9%5.4%$15,841
Sanders County435.53%32.17%38.3%22.7%18.9%5.8%$15,785
Roosevelt County534.87%12.32%18.2%17.4%44.4%11.4%$15,249
Musselshell County630%26.99%34.2%23.6%22.3%6.3%$14,849
Deer Lodge County730.96%26.67%35.9%26.9%20.2%5.7%$14,843
Wheatland County831.8%24.63%29.2%31.1%22.1%5.8%$14,834
Prairie County927.39%36.55%38.8%23.9%18.3%5.3%$14,472
Mineral County1030.54%28.71%41.4%21.7%13.7%7.7%$14,213
Rosebud County1126.68%17%29.9%18.7%28.8%10.8%$14,095
Powell County1227.63%21.28%29.7%31.3%22.5%5.1%$13,870
Big Horn County1336.99%14%19.3%18%40.2%14.1%$13,802
Ravalli County1422.41%26.88%40.4%22.9%15.2%5.7%$13,512
Daniels County1521%26.81%37.1%36.3%13%3.9%$13,488
Valley County1622.45%24.65%30.7%26.1%21.2%6.5%$13,376
Lake County1727.85%24.14%33.3%20.6%26.8%8.1%$13,243
Wibaux County1828.17%25.24%35.6%28.1%21.9%5%$13,110
Pondera County1921.54%22%29.2%23.4%26.9%8.4%$13,076
Hill County2023.95%16.22%23.2%20.2%28.6%8.8%$13,052
Sheridan County2124.62%25.2%36.2%32.1%13.8%5.3%$13,043
Glacier County2229.19%13.2%18.9%14%42.4%14.7%$12,995
Phillips County2328.35%23.86%32.1%26.9%23%6.6%$12,747
Beaverhead County2420.74%23.85%35.7%25.4%18.9%5.8%$12,638
Silver Bow County2522.19%19.31%35.2%22.8%22.6%7.7%$12,553
Stillwater County2618.17%25%43.8%25.7%11.4%4.3%$12,394
Sweet Grass County2720.74%28.47%40.5%29.4%12.1%4.4%$12,315
Teton County2820.37%23.12%35.2%29%16.6%6.3%$12,264
Granite County2921.54%31%43.9%24.4%11.9%4.3%$12,167
Liberty County3016.46%24%32.7%29%20.4%6.1%$12,102
Fergus County3123.58%25%38.3%23.8%18.2%5.9%$12,067
Cascade County3221.1%19.72%33.3%21.7%20.2%7.5%$12,031
Carbon County3317.58%27.23%42.4%26.3%12%4.8%$11,984
Dawson County3424%21%31.9%22.9%16.3%5.5%$11,924
Treasure County3522.69%31.3%44.6%25.6%14.2%6.3%$11,698
Jefferson County3619.39%23.29%43.4%22.1%12.5%4.7%$11,698
Blaine County3731.91%16.49%22.8%17.1%36.8%10.4%$11,695
Madison County3816%30.24%44.8%28.1%8.9%3.8%$11,584
Park County3918.21%24.48%36%26.1%15.9%5.4%$11,501
Judith Basin County4021%27%41.1%22%11.9%5.7%$11,266
Flathead County4117.82%20.85%39%22.6%16.2%6.5%$11,245
Custer County4221.25%20.47%33.9%25.6%20.1%6.6%$11,180
Carter County4326.33%28.87%37.3%33.6%13.1%4.6%$10,972
Garfield County4424.95%25%34.4%29.7%18.4%6.8%$10,922
Lewis and Clark County4517.98%20.26%40.3%20.7%15.9%6.4%$10,695
Yellowstone County4616.47%18%36.5%22.7%19.7%7.2%$10,462
McCone County4719.24%28.4%35.3%28.5%15.5%6.5%$10,195
Missoula County4815.83%17%36.7%20.9%20%7.2%$10,099
Broadwater County4919.5%23.36%38.2%23.1%15.1%5.9%$10,087
Fallon County5019.94%19.25%35.9%33.8%15.5%5.4%$10,047
Toole County5116.42%17.21%33%23.4%21.4%7.6%$9,795
Chouteau County5217.68%23%38.7%24.3%14.5%7%$9,699
Powder River County5322.98%30.77%44.1%26.2%10.1%6.3%$9,377
Petroleum County5427%29.17%35.7%28.4%14.6%6.5%$9,198
Richland County5514.14%16.99%36.8%29.5%16.5%6.1%$9,102
Gallatin County568.33%13.58%40.8%22.9%11.7%5.7%$6,744

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